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Link Predictions

The PREDICTIONS section of a node's detail view answers one precise question:

Which two concepts have never appeared in the same note, yet look — from the shape of the whole network — like they should be connected?

This layer is not AI: no network calls, no API key, works offline.

The Intuition: Rarer Shared Concepts Carry More Signal

Suppose A and B never co-occur, but both relate to C. How much C counts depends on how common C is:

  • C is something like "design thinking", appearing everywhere → almost no information, since it touches everything
  • C appears in only three notes → strong signal, because two things landing on the same obscure concept is unlikely to be coincidence

So a shared concept you lean on constantly counts for little, while a rare one you reached from two different directions counts for a lot.

Reading a Prediction

Each one carries three things:

ElementMeaning
The candidate nodeThe concept proposed as a connection
ConfidenceStrong, Moderate or Weak — how much the shared concepts add up to
Shared neighboursThe intermediate concepts behind the judgement, ordered rarest first — the top one weighed most

That last column is what makes it explainable: you need not trust a rating, you can read "so A and B both relate to these three concepts" and judge for yourself.

Only pairs that never co-occurred

Pairs that have co-occurred never appear here — those are facts, and they belong to the matrix. Prediction deals strictly with what has not happened yet.

Where It Falls Short

  • Too few notes produces almost nothing: not enough shared concepts to work from
  • A universal node (one you linked from every single note) dilutes the signal — though a concept that common already counts for very little
  • Nodes with zero references are skipped

Versus Semantic Relations

Both hunt for connections you have not made, on entirely different evidence:

Based onFinds
Link predictionYour link structureConcepts worded differently but sitting in similar positions in the network
Semantic relationsThe meaning of the textNotes saying the same thing that you never connected

One reads structure, the other meaning. Both are free, and they corroborate each other — a pair flagged by both is worth connecting first.

Next Steps